Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Cruzeiro
40.65% ( -0.04)	28.07% ( -0)	31.28% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.89% (

0.02)

59.11% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

0.02)

79.56% (

-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

-0.01)

28.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

-0.02)

64.3% (

0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49% (

0.05)

34.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

0.05)

71.22% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 40.64%

Cruzeiro 31.28%

Draw 28.06%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.64%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.28%