SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Lanus |
52.86% ( -0.06) | 26.95% ( 0.12) | 20.2% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.43) | 61.85% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.38% ( -0.32) | 81.63% ( 0.32) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.22) | 23.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( -0.31) | 57.81% ( 0.31) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.96% ( -0.32) | 46.04% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.25% ( -0.24) | 81.75% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 15.7% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.45% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.2% |
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