Whatever Cruzeiro lack in attacking quality, they make up for along the back end, and we expect their consistently solid defence should look relatively comfortable handling Goias, allowing them to be a little riskier going forward and eventually find a breakthrough.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.07) 
