Despite their lofty league position, Fluminense's poor away form cannot be ignored. Goias are well capable of putting on a good show on their home patch, as they showed against Botafogo last month, and after two disappointing results in their last two matches, the hosts will be determined to take something from this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
0.2) 
-0.27) 
