Internacional have fared well in their recent meetings with Cruzeiro, and with four of their five home league games this season producing a victory, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
-0.48) 
0.17) 
