Vasco da Gama unsurprisingly came out as second best against league leaders Botafogo last time out, but a home match on Saturday should be a good opportunity for Batista's men to get back into winning ways.
Cruzeiro are competing with the very best in the Brasileiro this term, and we believe they will narrowly come out on top at Estadio Sao Januario on the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.
0.02) 
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