A closely-fought contest between two teams desperate to end their poor runs of form is set to take place on Friday, but we believe that Goias will pile more misery on Vasco da Gama and claim their first away victory of the season to potentially move out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Goias in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Goias
56.03% ( 0)	24.45% ( 0)	19.52% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

-0.02)

54.04% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

-0.01)

75.47% (

0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0.01)

19.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

-0.01)

50.86% (

0.01)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.78% (

-0.02)

42.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.37% (

-0.01)

78.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 56.02%

Goias 19.52%

Draw 24.45%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 56.02%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.52%