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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 18, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio de Haile Pinheiro
AM

Goias
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro


Magno (44'), Melo (66'), Goncalves (74'), Allano (90+7'), Halter (90+4')
FT

Rabello (56'), Jemerson (73'), Franco (84'), Vargas (90+1')
Arana (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Goias 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

It is hard to separate both sides, and a draw could be on the cards, leaving Goias underwhelmed as they remain in the bottom four and Mineiro still winless under Scolari. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Goias had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GoiasDrawAtletico Mineiro
26.57% (0.384 0.38) 27.95% (0.242 0.24) 45.48% (-0.623 -0.62)
Both teams to score 44.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)60.53% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36% (-0.46 -0.46)80.64% (0.461 0.46)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)39.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)26.61% (0.596 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)61.84% (0.797 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Goias 26.57%
    Atletico Mineiro 45.47%
    Draw 27.94%
GoiasDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 13.74% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-2 Coritiba
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santa Fe 1-2 Goias
Thursday, June 29 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Goias
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Goias
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Corinthians
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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