Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Gremio

Bueno (13'), Gomes (90+4')
Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vanderson (20')
Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Gremio
46.64%	27.42%	25.94%

Both teams to score 45.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.9%

59.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45%

79.54%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63%

25.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83%

60.17%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23%

38.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5%

75.5%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 46.64%

Gremio 25.94%

Draw 27.42%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.52% Total : 25.94%