Gremio
2 - 1
Chapecoense

Alisson (18'), Borja (32' pen.)
Mendes (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ramon (4')
Ramon (23'), Derlan (31'), Fernando Melz (45+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Chapecoense
55.59%	23.73%	20.68%

Both teams to score 50.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14%

49.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15%

71.85%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21%

17.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5%

48.49%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44%

38.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7%

75.3%

Score Analysis

Gremio 55.58%

Chapecoense 20.69%

Draw 23.72%

Gremio	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.58%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.69%