Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.