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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena do GrĂªmio

Gremio
1 - 2
LDU Quito

Souza (23')
Pereira (21'), Kannemann (80'), Elena Felipe Scolari (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alcivar (44', 56' pen.)
Zunino (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawLDU Quito
48.33%27.21%24.46%
Both teams to score 45.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71%59.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31%79.69%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84%59.16%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16%76.84%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 48.33%
    LDU Quito 24.46%
    Draw 27.2%
GremioDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 13.87%
2-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.46%

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