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Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Dec 5, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
AP

Fluminense
3 - 1
Athletico PR

Nene (26'), Paulo (73', 75')
Ferraz (41'), Hudson (45+4'), Egidio (50'), Cardoso (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cittadini (10')
Heleno (13'), Martins (29'), Richard (77')
Heleno (37')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawAthletico Paranaense
47.25%27.33%25.42%
Both teams to score 45.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.9%59.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45%79.55%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.94%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 47.24%
    Athletico Paranaense 25.42%
    Draw 27.33%
FluminenseDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.24%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.42%

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