Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.