Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
