Atletico Goianiense and Fortaleza have endured an underwhelming campaign so far and find themselves at the wrong end of the standings. The Leao do Pici have lost each of their last five away games in all competitions and we are backing Campos's side to make use of their home advantage and scrape a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
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