Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
