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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Nov 14, 2021 at 10pm UK
Castelao

Ceara
2 - 1
Sport

Vinicius (9'), Marlon (80')
Jael (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mikael (61')
Thyere (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawSport Recife
57.61%25.64%16.75%
Both teams to score 39.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.56%61.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.68%81.32%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.02%49.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.36%84.64%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 57.6%
    Sport Recife 16.75%
    Draw 25.63%
CearaDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 16.51%
2-0 @ 12.69%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 2.58%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.75%

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