SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 47.5% | 28.66% | 23.83% |
| Both teams to score 40.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.69% | 64.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.59% | 83.41% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% | 27.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.18% | 62.82% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.31% | 43.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.13% | 79.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 15.49% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 8.31% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.67% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.83% |
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