Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.