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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 at 11pm UK
Castelao
F

Fortaleza
0 - 3
Flamengo


Ronald (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (60'), Michael (64', 67')
Vitinho (37'), Caio (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawFlamengo
23.37%24.98%51.65%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95%52.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22%73.77%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83%37.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05%73.95%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 23.37%
    Flamengo 51.64%
    Draw 24.98%
FortalezaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.37%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.99%
0-2 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 5.08%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-4 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.64%

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