SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.33%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 72.23% | 18.76% | 9.01% |
| Both teams to score 36.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.71% | 52.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.01% | 73.99% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% | 13.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.16% | 39.84% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.53% | 57.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.7% | 89.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-0 @ 15.55% 1-0 @ 15.33% 3-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.13% Total : 72.22% | 1-1 @ 8.49% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.76% | 0-1 @ 4.19% 1-2 @ 2.35% 0-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.31% Total : 9.01% |
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