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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
AP

Flamengo
3 - 0
Athletico PR

Ribeiro (5'), Henrique (10'), Pereira (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (56'), Isla (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Nicolas (51'), Hernandez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.33%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
72.23%18.76%9.01%
Both teams to score 36.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71%52.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85%13.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.16%39.84%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.53%57.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.7%89.3%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 72.22%
    Athletico Paranaense 9.01%
    Draw 18.76%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 15.55%
1-0 @ 15.33%
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 5.83%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 72.22%
1-1 @ 8.49%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 4.19%
1-2 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9.01%

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