Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.33%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
