Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
