Gremio
2 - 1
Bahia

Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Bahia
60.72%	22.37%	16.91%

Both teams to score 48.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84%

45.16%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.26%

42.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.93%

79.07%

Score Analysis

Gremio 60.71%

Bahia 16.91%

Draw 22.37%

Gremio	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.05% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.78% 1-2 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.91%