Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.