Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
