Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.