Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
