Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.