Sport
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Neves (10')
Marcao (45+2'), Henrique (48'), Maidana (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Melo (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sport Recife in this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Fortaleza
38.48%	27.16%	34.35%

Both teams to score 50.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86%

55.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61%

76.39%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15%

27.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55%

63.45%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45%

66.55%

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 38.48%

Fortaleza 34.35%

Draw 27.16%

Sport Recife	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.48%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.35%