SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Santos |
62.2% ( 0.56) | 22.53% ( -0.14) | 15.28% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.18) | 52.93% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( -0.15) | 74.54% ( 0.15) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.13) | 16.55% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( 0.23) | 46.31% ( -0.23) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.69) | 46.87% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.61% ( -0.53) | 82.39% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Internacional | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 62.19% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.24% Total : 15.28% |
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