Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.