Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.24) 
