Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
-0.78) 
0.67) 
