Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
