SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Cruzeiro |
30.71% ( 0.7) | 26.32% ( 0.02) | 42.97% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( 0.19) | 52.67% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( 0.16) | 74.31% ( -0.17) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.6) | 31.57% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( 0.69) | 67.97% ( -0.69) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.27) | 24.31% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( -0.39) | 58.7% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventude | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.97% |
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