Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.