SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Juventude |
63.1% ( -0.12) | 20.89% ( 0.08) | 16.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.28) | 44.98% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.27) | 67.33% ( 0.27) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( -0.12) | 13.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( -0.25) | 40.77% ( 0.25) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.12) | 41.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.11) | 77.63% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Juventude |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.89% | 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.01% |
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