Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
