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G
Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 22, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
P

Gremio
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Pedro (9')
Ely (34'), Pedro (45+6'), Villasanti (59'), Grando (90+9')
Villasanti (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rocha (45+2'), Mayke (63'), Menino (72')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Goias
Saturday, September 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawPalmeiras
35.11% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.52% (-0.139 -0.14) 37.38% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (0.528 0.53)56.44% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.425 0.42)77.45% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.20999999999999 0.21)30.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.249 0.25)66.74% (-0.247 -0.25)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.395 0.39)29.12% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.484 0.48)65.05% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 35.1%
    Palmeiras 37.37%
    Draw 27.51%
GremioDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Gremio
Friday, September 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-1 Gremio
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 17 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Goias
Saturday, September 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 0-4 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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