Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
