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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Arena Conda
SP

Chapecoense
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Mike (76')
Gomes (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rigoni (36')
Galeano (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
ChapecoenseDrawSao Paulo
27.94%27.22%44.84%
Both teams to score 47.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7%57.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86%78.13%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9%36.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12%72.88%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Score Analysis
    Chapecoense 27.94%
    Sao Paulo 44.84%
    Draw 27.22%
ChapecoenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.94%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 12.57%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.84%

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