Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.