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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
SC

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Cristal

Alves (25'), Rojas (68'), Bueno (70')
Alves (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lora (41'), Calcaterra (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawSporting Cristal
57.83%25.07%17.1%
Both teams to score 41.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79%59.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.63%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01%52.99%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.82%48.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.64%83.36%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 57.82%
    Sporting Cristal 17.1%
    Draw 25.07%
Sao PauloDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.78%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 57.82%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.21%
1-2 @ 4.17%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.1%

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