Fluminense
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Fred (52')
Yuri (42'), Nino (75'), Barcelos (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brenner (15', 72')
Luan (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
34.89%	27.12%	37.99%

Both teams to score 50.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09%

54.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81%

76.19%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1%

29.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34%

66%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98%

28.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33%

63.66%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 34.88%

Sao Paulo 37.99%

Draw 27.11%

Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.88%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.99%