Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
