Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
