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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jul 17, 2021 at 9pm UK
Castelao
AP

Ceara
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Wendson (90+9')
Marlon (47'), Buiu (75'), Cristiano (90+2'), Lima (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vitinho (69'), Nikao (90+8'), Cittadini (90+9')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawAthletico Paranaense
41.18%29.17%29.65%
Both teams to score 43.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.75%63.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35%82.65%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75%30.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58%66.42%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01%37.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24%74.76%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 41.18%
    Athletico Paranaense 29.65%
    Draw 29.16%
CearaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 8.22%
2-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.16%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 29.65%

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