Coritiba
1 - 0
Vasco

Robson (90' pen.)
Sarrafiore (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Catatau (34'), Pikachu (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Vasco da Gama
38.03%	30.74%	31.23%

Both teams to score 39.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.38%

67.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.32%

85.68%

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78%

39.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07%

75.93%

Score Analysis

Coritiba 38.02%

Vasco da Gama 31.23%

Draw 30.73%

Coritiba	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 7.18% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.02%	0-0 @ 13.5% 1-1 @ 13.47% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.73%	0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.5% Total : 31.23%