Vasco
3 - 2
Goias

Cano (15'), Graca (50', 90+2')
Matos (18')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fernandao (26', 45+7')
Figueira (58'), Sanches (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Goias.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Goias had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Goias
39.5%	26.73%	33.76%

Both teams to score 51.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5%

53.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.98%

75.02%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3%

61.69%

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08%

29.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97%

66.02%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 39.5%

Goias 33.76%

Draw 26.72%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.5%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.76%