Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.