We said: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Bielefeld have lost very few games this season owing to their excellent defensive organisation, so it is difficult to see them losing at home against this struggling Gladbach outfit.
The hosts could easily win this if both sides pick up from where they left off prior to the international break, but we are going for a draw in a tight game of football on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
