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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
AB

Borussia M'bach
3 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Stindl (35', 69'), Zakaria (72')
Scally (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okugawa (45+2')
Hack (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawArminia Bielefeld
54.02%23.19%22.79%
Both teams to score 55.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83%45.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49%67.51%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35%16.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51%46.48%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 54.02%
    Arminia Bielefeld 22.79%
    Draw 23.18%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.1%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.79%

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